Belarus has the geographic misfortune of being placed between a militarily resurgent Russia and an enlarging Western alliance. Since the mid 1990’s, the country has been under the authoritarian rule of President Alyaksandr Lukashenka. Although the country has remained in the economic and political orbit of Russia, the president has always maintained opens channels with the European Union. President Lukashenka became frightened with the invasion of Crimea and the subsequent annexation of the territory, from Ukraine in the spring of 2014. In […]
Global Investing Blog
Paraguay: The Inevitable Move Towards Political Dictatorship
Latin America in the modern era, has struggled with a peaceful transfer of power, once a presidential term in office has been completed. Politicians on the right and more recently on the left, will attempt to cling to power, by changing constitutional and election laws. As a result, dictatorships have become quite common. Paraguay has been no different in this regard. Alfredo Stroessner served as President of Paraguay from 1954 to 1989. He ascended to the office after leading an army coup, […]
Bulgaria: Despite Recent Economic Growth, Elections Still Mask Massive Corruption
The center right GERB (Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria) party of Bulgaria, won the general parliamentary election held on March 26th. This will permit the leadership of the party to form another government, since the previous administration resigned last November. This had triggered the snap election that took place last weekend. This is Bulgaria’s third election in four years. Analysts remain skeptical, that the electoral results regardless of their final outcome, will be able to make much headway in the widespread […]
Moldova Struggling For A Better Future, Amidst Political Chaos
Moldova has struggled since independence arrived, with the breakup of the Soviet Union, at the end of the Cold War in 1991. The country remains Europe’s poorest country, due to lack of economic development and rampant corruption. A massive banking theft has left the country near insolvent. The long term survival of Moldova, with a population of just 3.5 million, still remains in doubt. The economy of Moldova remains heavily reliant on agriculture. Structural reforms will be needed to promote sustainable growth […]
Taiwan In A Precarious Position As China’s Military Power Grows
The relationship with mainland China is what has dominated the politics of Taiwan, since the island became the last main redoubt of the Nationalists in 1949. The most important issue that divides the two main Taiwanese political parties 68 year later, remains how to manage an increasingly powerful China. The island’s founding party the conservative Kuomintang (KMT), still holds out the possibility that there will be an eventual reunification, with the rest of China. There are even some old time politicians that still […]
Greece On The Precipice Of Financial Disaster?
The debt crisis in Greece has been an ongoing state of affairs, ever since the international financial crisis of 2007 and 2008. The aftermath of this instability would hit the Greek economy in late 2009. The immediate trigger would be the turmoil caused by the Great Recession, that started in the United States and spread throughout the world. The structural weakness in the Greek economy, along with the constant under reporting of deficits and accumulated debt by the government, led to a […]
Iraq: Can Unity Be Restored To A Fractious Country?
Last October, the battle for Mosul, the second largest city in Iraq began. In March of 2017, there is little doubt that the metropolis, will soon be retaken from ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria). This final engagement spearheaded by the Iraqis military,will effectively end the caliphate of ISIS, which was declared just two years ago. As the war against the ISIS jihadis winds down, the next challenge will be to restore a fractious country, that has never been so divided. […]
Azerbaijan Dealing With Authoritarianism, A Shrinking Economy And A Falling Currency
Ilham Aliyev is the fourth and current President of Azerbaijan and has been in office since 2003. His recent appointment of his wife to the position of First Vice-President, indicates his family plans to hold onto power for the foreseeable future. The tightening political and economic grip of the President, is turning Azerbaijan into an authoritarian society. A country wide referendum was held in September of 2016. One the 29 changes proposed to the constitution and supposedly passed by the electorate, was […]
United States World Position Will Be Undone With The End Of The Petrodollar
Many Americans are totally unaware how dependent their standard of living has become, to the global role of the United States dollar (USD). The petrodollar system, has supported the United States (U.S.) currency in the world economy, since the early 1970’s. The premiere reserve position the American dollar has held for over forty years, has become largely dependent on the international trade in crude oil. The petrodollar system of rules, has allowed the United States government and Americans to live far beyond […]
Ecuador: End To The Socialist Era Problematic, Even With The Departure Of President Correa
The first round of presidential elections in Ecuador, failed to deliver President Rafael Correa the result he desired. Held on February 19th the socialist candidate Lenin Moreno, failed to receive the 40% required, to prevent a second round in April. Correa has already threatened to dissolve both the executive and legislative branches of government, if Mr. Moreno is not elected president. President Correa may well decide to invoke an obscure procedural rule, that would in effect nullify the results of a national […]